Analytics

PIRATES OF THE EXPANSION DRAFT – Expect Vegas To Use Cap Space As Asset Which Dictates The Isles Future
Analytics, Expansion Draft

PIRATES OF THE EXPANSION DRAFT – Expect Vegas To Use Cap Space As Asset Which Dictates The Isles Future

Say you are George McPhee. You would want a bevy of picks and low-cost players to mesh together for a long-run. Sure, the NHL installed a rule to say they need to be some-what competitive. But if you are GM (and IF the owner is on-board) you sit back and do the best foot forward for the long-haul … and that means collecting 1st round picks. So here come the NY Islanders who would love to remove Grabovski from their cap, per Newsday’s Arthur Staple. Despite all the fans barking about LTIR (Long Term Injury Reserve), it has never been so simple. The issue is Grabovski WANTS TO PLAY. You CANNOT place a player that feels he can play on LTIR. It would then become a longer drawn-out issue of the NHLPA/NHL, requiring testing done with independent doctors to determine this. So since...
Ryan Strome Must Play – How CAPPYLITICS Is Hurting NY Islanders Playoff Performance
Analytics, NHL, NY Islanders

Ryan Strome Must Play – How CAPPYLITICS Is Hurting NY Islanders Playoff Performance

I said earlier this season that this would be our final accounting of NY Islanders coach Jack Capuano. Would he be able to get this team to the next step? Would Jack finally grow into the key role as a playoff experienced coach for a perennial playoff contender? This season was a mixed bag, and suffice to say, so has been the playoffs on this accounting. As much as the Islanders have shown a resiliency and ability to take out a playoff newbie like Florida, they have shown a lack of poise and questionable strategy in key moments in the Tampa Bay Lightning series. Above all, there seems to be a bad habit of Cappylytics™ peeking out time and time again, which is setting key items back and putting the team in a precarious position. Cappylytics™ – using older unskilled depth...
IslesBeat Guide for the Thinking Fan: How player metrics and salary determine offseason consideration for the Isles defense
Analytics, NHL, NY Islanders

IslesBeat Guide for the Thinking Fan: How player metrics and salary determine offseason consideration for the Isles defense

Part 2: The Islanders Defensemen In part 1 we used War-on-Ice metrics to capture a summary/overall view of forwards total contribution to their team in their Goals Against Replacement (GAR). If you missed that piece, click here.  GAR uses key quantitative metrics including, face-offs, penalties drawn/taken, shot metrics in variable game situations to calculate how many goals a player’s efforts would contribute to a team versus a replacement level player. In that, we can apply that every 6 GAR should equal 1 win. Then we need to look at salary as it relates to GAR. GAR and wins really relate to salary differential and give you insight to how many teams evaluate players in trades and also free agents. So let’s look at the top GAR for Defenseman based on la...
IslesBeat Guide for the Thinking Fan: How player metrics and salary determine offseason consideration in trades & free agency
Analytics, NHL, NY Islanders

IslesBeat Guide for the Thinking Fan: How player metrics and salary determine offseason consideration in trades & free agency

Part 1: The Islanders Forwards The baseball sabermetric folks created Wins Above Replacement (WAR) so they could get a summary/overall view of a player’s total contributions to their team. But how does that equate to hockey? War-on-Ice has done amazing work in trying to capture a summary/overall view for hockey players in their Goals Against Replacement, or GAR, metric. War-on-Ice’s metric is one of the best around for really capturing what teams use as metrics to evaluate players. GAR uses key quantitative metrics including, face-offs, penalties drawn/taken, shot metrics in variable game situations to calculate how many goals a player’s efforts would contribute to a team versus a replacement level player. In that, we can apply that eve...