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The Isles Missed All The Warning Signs
History, NHL, NY Islanders

The Isles Missed All The Warning Signs

How did we get here?  Did we take a wrong left turn at Albuquerque?  The Isles season with Jack Capuano at the tiller should have been finished shortly after late October. The Isles had just blown another 3rd period, allowing the Penguins 3 goals and take the game. It was a text book Capuano fixture to his tenure, where a lack of poise … albeit with below average goaltending … blew a lead and then the game. Capuano was frustrated and angry. He was staring at a wall that he could not, and would not ever pass. He was out of solutions, expertise, and began to reflect that frustration back out. Whether he was willing to admit it or not, he blamed the lack of offense and chemistry thanks to GM Garth Snow’s offseason. He was resentful that he didn’t have any say in the...
Ryan Strome Must Play – How CAPPYLITICS Is Hurting NY Islanders Playoff Performance
Analytics, NHL, NY Islanders

Ryan Strome Must Play – How CAPPYLITICS Is Hurting NY Islanders Playoff Performance

I said earlier this season that this would be our final accounting of NY Islanders coach Jack Capuano. Would he be able to get this team to the next step? Would Jack finally grow into the key role as a playoff experienced coach for a perennial playoff contender? This season was a mixed bag, and suffice to say, so has been the playoffs on this accounting. As much as the Islanders have shown a resiliency and ability to take out a playoff newbie like Florida, they have shown a lack of poise and questionable strategy in key moments in the Tampa Bay Lightning series. Above all, there seems to be a bad habit of Cappylytics™ peeking out time and time again, which is setting key items back and putting the team in a precarious position. Cappylytics™ – using older unskilled depth...
NHL, NY Islanders

The NY Islanders Are Staring Into The Abyss – What Is Staring Back?

“We just aren’t getting any puck luck right now.”– Jack Capuano after a 4-1 loss versus the Flyers.   The lack of progress of Ryan Strome, Anders Lee, and Brock Nelson might be the swan song of this season if the Islanders are not careful. Last summer, the Isles brass made two important decisions. One paid off handsomely: Signing Greiss as their backup goaltender. Their other decision might wash all that success away: they felt that the next step for their kids would be enough of a difference on offense. Now as we all careen through March, the Islanders are slumping, looking for offense. Ryan Strome, Brock Nelson, and just lately, Anders Lee, are nowhere to be found. In theory and NHL practice, it is proper to assume that 2 or 1 of the 3 would step-up and improve this year whi...
Fellow Isles Fan Needs Our Support – Please Read and Get Behind This
Support

Fellow Isles Fan Needs Our Support – Please Read and Get Behind This

In my 9 years of writing about the NHL, the NY Islanders, and Nassau, I have never asked for anything of fans (besides perhaps the great sinking of Kate Murray’s DA campaign). Today, I am going to ask you of something. I ask you for your support and to get behind a fellow Islanders fan and his family who are going through a tremendous loss.  Fellow Isles fans, Seth & Lauren Cohen, lost their daughter  to a rare and hidden disease just a few weeks ago. Maya Rachel Cohen, a spunky, vivacious 5-year-old who loved the Islanders, died suddenly of a rare and hidden heart condition on December 13th. She was an amazing kid who loved life, coloring and the NY Islanders. When asked to draw her self-portrait, she chose to draw herself in an Isles jersey. ...
IslesBeat Examines The Kyle Okposo Situation And Why He Is Difficult To Trade
NHL, NY Islanders

IslesBeat Examines The Kyle Okposo Situation And Why He Is Difficult To Trade

We wrote before about the deep thinking the NY Islanders have to do on Kyle Okposo this season. Let us now go one step further and list out the difficulties to this situation and why this will likely remain something pending for the rest of the season. If you have been following my tweets this past summer, then nobody should be surprised that Anders Lee and John Tavares are being used together. Anders Lee is a rising young player. We have seen both Josh Bailey and also Ryan Strome with them thus far. My money is still on Josh Bailey as the left wing. However, they are certainly looking at different options.  Meanwhile, Kyle Okposo has been paired with Fran Nielsen thus far in preseason. They are players in their contract year who have a mounting incentive for output a...
IslesBeat Guide for the Thinking Fan: How player metrics and salary determine offseason consideration for the Isles defense
Analytics, NHL, NY Islanders

IslesBeat Guide for the Thinking Fan: How player metrics and salary determine offseason consideration for the Isles defense

Part 2: The Islanders Defensemen In part 1 we used War-on-Ice metrics to capture a summary/overall view of forwards total contribution to their team in their Goals Against Replacement (GAR). If you missed that piece, click here.  GAR uses key quantitative metrics including, face-offs, penalties drawn/taken, shot metrics in variable game situations to calculate how many goals a player’s efforts would contribute to a team versus a replacement level player. In that, we can apply that every 6 GAR should equal 1 win. Then we need to look at salary as it relates to GAR. GAR and wins really relate to salary differential and give you insight to how many teams evaluate players in trades and also free agents. So let’s look at the top GAR for Defenseman based on la...
IslesBeat Guide for the Thinking Fan: How player metrics and salary determine offseason consideration in trades & free agency
Analytics, NHL, NY Islanders

IslesBeat Guide for the Thinking Fan: How player metrics and salary determine offseason consideration in trades & free agency

Part 1: The Islanders Forwards The baseball sabermetric folks created Wins Above Replacement (WAR) so they could get a summary/overall view of a player’s total contributions to their team. But how does that equate to hockey? War-on-Ice has done amazing work in trying to capture a summary/overall view for hockey players in their Goals Against Replacement, or GAR, metric. War-on-Ice’s metric is one of the best around for really capturing what teams use as metrics to evaluate players. GAR uses key quantitative metrics including, face-offs, penalties drawn/taken, shot metrics in variable game situations to calculate how many goals a player’s efforts would contribute to a team versus a replacement level player. In that, we can apply that eve...
The Kyle Okposo Conundrum
NHL, NY Islanders

The Kyle Okposo Conundrum

Ryan Kesler, a very good but not elite player, just got a 6-year extension from the Ducks that averages 6.875 million per year. Kesler hasn’t scored over 70 points since the 2010-2011 season. Maybe they are apples to oranges, but the writing is on the wall that the Isles have a lot of thinking on tap because KO might be looking north of 7 million per year. There is a big decision coming up for the Islanders in regard to Kyle Okposo…. who was well on his way to over 70pts last season before being injured. This decision for the Islanders is really a series of questions that will await an answer as it goes around and around…. THE KYLE OKPOSO CONUNDRUM 1. Is Kyle Okposo worth 7+mil for 6-7 yrs in terms of absolute value and in terms of the Islanders impending salary/cap situati...
The Unbearable Lightness of Being A Blogger
History, NHL

The Unbearable Lightness of Being A Blogger

The Bloggerazzi Peeks Out From Beneath An Article About The Isles Blog Box October 10, 2007 As soon as the Sports Illustrated article hit the wire, I waited for it. That invariable swipe by those in a malleable establishment to judge and pigeonhole the Islander Blog Box. It didn't take long. The bash was led by one who was at the very most top of the hockey blogging food chain.It came down from the most precarious of perches, reacting to a bunch of everymen and women come into his territory, crabbing about team control as well as the paid sponsor in his long litany of complaints. Eric McErlain is author of the excellent Off Wing Opinion, but his attack came in the guise of his spot on the AOL NHL Fanhouse, which led to those like Greg Wyshynski to chime in soon after. And with...